In his first 100 days as president, Joe Biden has proposed more than a dozen significant changes to the U.S. tax code that would raise upwards of $3 trillion in revenue and reduce incentives to invest, save, and work in the United States. While proposing ways to pay for new spending and for expanded refundable tax credits is laudable, the Biden administration has chosen to pursue inefficient tax increases that would undermine economic growth and reduce U.S. competitiveness.
After signing the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan into law, Biden has proposed two additional multi-trillion-dollar spending proposals—the $2.65 trillion American Jobs Plan and the $1.8 trillion American Families Plan—to be partially financed by tax increases on corporations, higher-income households, and pass-through businesses. Biden’s plans also include expanded tax credits for preferred business activities and for lower- and middle-income households.
Under Biden’s proposals, the United States would return to the top of the global charts for its top statutory tax rate on corporate income and top marginal tax rate on capital gains and dividends. Significant portions of the income in estates would face a double tax, and the U.S. would become an outlier in its tax treatment of foreign earnings of multinational corporations. Such policies depart from traditional, and more efficient, funding sources for public infrastructure investments and come with significant trade-offs in terms of competitiveness, American output, and American incomes.
The American Jobs Plan (AJP) would fund infrastructure investments and increased spending on other priorities by increasing the tax burden on domestic and foreign earnings of corporations. It would:
- Raise the corporate income tax rate from 21 percent to 28 percent.
- Raise the tax on Global Intangible Low Tax Income (GILTI) to 21 percent, calculate it on a country-by-country basis, and eliminate the exemption of a 10 percent return on tangible investment abroad (QBAI).
- Impose a 15 percent minimum tax on corporate book income, which would be levied on a firm’s financial profits instead of taxable income for firms with revenue over $100 million.
- Repeal the Foreign-Derived Intangible Income (FDII) deduction, which incentivizes firms to move intellectual property (IP) into the U.S.
- Provide a tax credit for certain onshoring activity and deny expense deductions on jobs that were offshored.
- Increase corporate tax enforcement.
- Eliminate certain deductions and credits for the fossil fuel industry.
- Expand and restructure certain green energy tax credits.
The American Families Plan (AFP) would fund $1.8 trillion of increased spending on educational and childcare-related policies by increasing the tax burden on high-income individuals and pass-through businesses. It would:
- Raise the top marginal tax rate on individuals to 39.6 percent.
- Apply ordinary income tax rates, including the proposed 39.6 percent rate, to capital gains income of individuals with more than $1 million in taxable income.
- Tax unrealized capital gains at death with a $1 million exemption for single filers and $2 million exemption for joint filers, with additional exemptions for certain types of assets.
- Apply the 3.8 percent net investment income tax to all income above $400,000, including active pass-through income.
- Make permanent the 2017 tax law’s 463(I) limitation on pass-through businesses’ losses above $250,000 for single filers and $500,000 for joint filers.
- Limit 1031 Like-Kind Exchange deferral for gains above $500,000.
- Tax carried interest as ordinary income.
- Increase individual tax enforcement and enact new reporting requirements for financial institutions.
The American Rescue Plan (ARP) enacted one-year expansions of three refundable tax credits: the Child Tax Credit (CTC), the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC), and the Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC). The proposed American Families Plan would extend and make permanent the American Rescue Plan’s expansions. It would:
- Extend the enhanced Child Tax Credit of $3,600 for children under 6 and $3,000 for children age 6 through 17 through 2025.
- Make permanent full refundability of the Child Tax Credit, eliminating the income phase-in of the credit.
- Make permanent the near tripling of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) for workers without qualifying children, including doubled phase-in and phaseout rates and higher phase-in and phaseout income levels.
- Make permanent the expanded Child and Dependent Care Tax Credit (CDCTC), which covers up to 50 percent of qualifying childcare expenses up to $4,000 for one child and $8,000 for two or more children.
The first 100 days of the Biden administration have witnessed proposals that would dramatically increase the burden of federal taxes by raising marginal tax rates on capital and labor. The current approach would increase the cost of investing, saving, and working in the United States. Relying on relatively inefficient forms of taxes to fund increased federal spending means more economic harm per dollar of revenue raised than alternative forms of funding, potentially undercutting benefits of public investments and creating a headwind to the economic recovery.
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